FCS Season Preview: Pioneer Football League
NCAA Football Betting Lines
08/27/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pioneer Football League might be renamed the Parity Football League if its hierarchy of programs isn't careful.
There's been a different champion in each of the last four seasons, from San Diego in 2006 to Dayton in 2007 to Jacksonville in 2008 to the epitome of the change across the league, Butler, which went 11-1 and won the title last season after being a mere 0-11 in 2005 - the season before Jeff Voris became the Bulldogs' head coach.
"If Butler can go from the bottom to the top, there's no question that the rest of the programs have the coaching and the personnel to do it, too. It's a real fun league for our guys to play in," Voris said.
Technically, the PFL crowns co-champions, but Dayton beat San Diego in 2007 and Butler edged Dayton last year, thus sending those two teams to the Gridiron Classic which matched the PFL champion against the Northeast Conference champion. That championship series, from 2006-09, has ended because the NEC winner is gaining an automatic FCS playoff berth for the first time this season.
What will continue, however, is a PFL race with a deep pool of title contenders. Butler and Dayton - both 7-1 in league play last season - and Jacksonville and Drake - both 6-2 - are at the head of the class.
Dayton, the longtime power in the PFL, is the preseason favorite among the 10 teams, but conference head coaches expect another tight race. In their preseason poll, they gave third-place Jacksonville as many first-place votes (4) as Dayton. Butler was sandwiched between those two teams with two first- place votes and a prediction for second place. Drake wasn't far behind in fourth place.
Dayton has the star power with fifth-year seniors Steve Valentino and James Vercammen. Valentino, a quarterback who was named PFL Offensive Player of the Year last season, is a nominee for the Walter Payton Award, sponsored by Fathead.com, and given to the FCS' outstanding player. Vercammen, who plays the Flyer position in Dayton's secondary, is a nominee for the Buck Buchanan Award, also sponsored by Fathead.com, and given to the FCS' outstanding defensive player.
At Butler, Voris has improved the Bulldogs' win total in each of his four seasons and took a team picked fifth in last year's PFL preseason poll to a tie for the league's single-season record for wins. His Bulldogs, 11-1 last season, return 17 starters - second-most in the league.
Jacksonville will ride the speed and power of all-time leading rusher Rudell Small, while Drake hopes to make it five different PFL champs in five seasons with defensive end Dain Taylor leading a veteran defense.
The PFL will be offensive-oriented with the return of many of last year's top skill-position players. The teams play eight conference games - each avoiding just one of their conference brethren.
Following is a team-by-team breakdown of the 2010 Pioneer Football League race.
The Sportsbook Betting Lines's predicted order of finish:
1. Dayton 2. Butler 3. Jacksonville 4. Drake 5. San Diego 6. Marist 7. Campbell 8. Davidson 9. Morehead State 10. Valparaiso
Offensive Player of the Year: Steve Valentino, QB, Dayton
Defensive Player of the Year: James Vercammen, Flyer, Dayton
1. DAYTON FLYERS (9-2 overall; 7-1 PFL)
COACH: Rick Chamberlin (18-5 in two seasons at Dayton)
STARTERS RETURNING: 15 (10 offense/3 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: QB Steve Valentino, Sr. (170 of 286 for 2,376 yards, 14 TDs and 8 INTs; 164 carries, 722 yards, 10 TDs)
DEFENSIVE STAR: Flyer James Vercammen, Sr. (134 TT, 17 TFL, 6 sacks)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: RB Brian Mack, So. (124 carries, 485 yards, 4 TDs) RB Dan Jacob, So. (89 carries, 319 yards, 3 TDs) FL/PR Justin Watkins, Sr. (47 receptions, 927 yards, 7 TDs) FL Luke Bellman, Jr. (14 receptions, 279 yards, 3 TDs) WR Justin Millio, Sr. (22 receptions, 203 yards, 2 TDs) WR Nick Collins, Sr. (27 receptions, 358 yards, 2 TDs) SE Anthony Papp, Sr. (19 receptions, 213 yards) LT Erik Studt, Sr. LG Dan Fornek, Sr. C Blake Saul, Sr. C Justin Griffis, Sr. RG Tyler Friedrich, Sr. RT Dan Prindle, Sr. DE Brandon Wingeier, Sr. (39 TT, 11.5 TFL, 6.5 sacks, 1 INT, 2 FR, 1 FF) DE Devon Langhorst, Sr. (6 TT) LB Joe Ries, Sr. (70 TT, 4.5 TFL, 3 INTs, 1 FR, 2 FF) S Ben Welsh, Jr. (24 TT, 2 TFL, 1 FR) CB A.J. Kaltenbach, Sr. (11 TT, 1 FR) CB/KR Gary Hunter, Fr. PK/P Nick Glavin, Sr. (5 of 11 FG, 43; 38.7-yard punt average) P/PK Nate Miller, So. (39.2-yard punt average; 5 of 8 FG, 36 long)
OUTLOOK: The PFL's longtime power is 29-6 overall and 19-4 in league games over the last three seasons. Chamberlin's five losses in two seasons as head coach are by a combined 20 points. Expect the offense to soar this season behind Valentino, who, incredibly, went from being an All-PFL first-team wide receiver in 2008 to the first-team quarterback last season. Also returning are all the top receivers, including the big-play Watkins, and the top running backs, while the offensive line has five senior starters. Can the defense stay on an elite level is the question. The Flyers led the PFL in total defense (242.6 ypg) and scoring defense (13.6 ppg), but return only three starters. At least they are the right three: Flyer Vercammen was third in the FCS with 12.2 tackles per game last season and joined DE Wingeier and LB Ries on the All-PFL first team. Dayton has to travel to Butler (Oct. 16) a week after the long trip to San Diego, but the Flyers don't play Jacksonville for a second straight season.
2. BUTLER BULLDOGS (11-1 overall; 7-1 PFL)
COACH: Jeff Voris (24-21 in four seasons at Butler; 39-55 in nine overall seasons)
STARTERS RETURNING: 17 (9 offense/8 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: WR Zach Watkins, Jr. (78 receptions, 918 yards, 10 TDs)
DEFENSIVE STAR: DE Grant Hunter, Jr. (39 TT, 11.5 TFL, 10 sacks, 3 PBU, 1 FF)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: QB Andrew Huck, Jr. (233 of 371 for 2,454 yards, 21 TDs and 11 INTs; 102 carries, 467 yards, 10 TDs) QB Matt Kobli, Jr. (237 of 358 for 2,518 yards, 23 TDs and 7 INTs in 2008; did not play last season) RB Scott Gray, Sr. (169 carries, 868 yards, 5 TDs; 13 receptions, 134 yards, 1 TD) RB Ryan Hitchock, Jr. (55 carries, 346 yards, 4 TDs) WR Eddie McHale, Sr. (38 receptions, 493 yards, 3 TDs) WR/RS Jordan Koopman, Jr. (24 receptions, 258 yards, 1 TD; 22.7-yard KO return average; 13-yard punt return average) TE Carter Walley, So. (5 receptions, 42 yards, 1 TD) LT Mike Staniewicz, Sr. LG Donnie Gilmore, Sr. C Rob Hobson, Jr. RG Pete Mattingly, Jr. DE Jeff Poss, Jr. (41 TT, 7.5 TFL, 3 sacks) DE Rob Cosler, Sr. (26 TT, 1 sack) NG Ross Teare, Jr. (29 TT, 4 TFL, 2 sacks) OLB Nick Caldicott, Jr. (70 TT, 8 TFL, 3 INTs, 1 FR, 3 FF) OLB Andrew Cottrell, Jr. (43 TT, 2.5 TFL) OLB William Lamar, Jr. (24 TT) MLB Jordan Ridley, So. (36 TT, 8.5 TFL, 4 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR, 1 FF) FS Mark Giacomantonio, Jr. (45 TT, 4 TFL, 5 INTs, 2 PBU, 1 FR, 1 FF) SS Logan Sullivan, Jr. (38 TT, 1 INT, 4 PBU) SS Matt Foor, Jr. (13 TT, 1 FR) CB/PR Todd Dombart, Sr. (30 TT, 2.5 TFL, 2 INTs, 3 PBU; 6-yard punt return average) CB Jack McKenna, Jr. (42 TT, 3 INTs, 5 PBU) PK David Lang, Jr. (7 of 11 FG, 39 long; 33 of 43 PAT)
OUTLOOK: Even if the Bulldogs are better than last season's 11-1 squad, it might be hard for them to show it in their record. They do have home games against Dayton (Oct. 16) and Jacksonville (Nov. 6). The offense has moved to a higher level in the last two seasons, and this season it could turn prolific behind a veteran line, QB Huck, RB Gray and WR Watkins, whose 78 catches led the PFL a year ago. Kobli, the backup QB, threw for a school-record 23 touchdowns and the second-most passing yards (2,518) in school history in 2008. Juniors dominate the defense. DE Hunter is among the FCS' best at getting to quarterbacks - he had 10 sacks last season - and LB Caldicott was their leader in tackles. The Butler Bowl, where the Bulldogs were 7-0 last season, received a facelift in the offseason. It will be another special season there this fall.
3. JACKSONVILLE DOLPHINS (7-4 overall; 6-2 PFL)
COACH: Kerwin Bell (19-16 in three seasons at Jacksonville)
STARTERS RETURNING: 15 (10 offense/5 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: RB Rudell Small, Sr. (195 carries, 1,074 yards, 9 TDs; 16 receptions, 112 yards)
DEFENSIVE STAR: LB JoJo Fennell, Sr. (86 TT, 4 TFL, 2 sacks, 1 INT)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: QB Josh McGregor, Jr. (178 of 315 for 2,693 yards, 31 TDs and 7 TDs) RB Keith Dawson, Jr. (32 yards, 146 yards, 2 TDs) WR Josh Philpart, Jr. (54 receptions, 912 yards, 13 TDs) WR Tommie Rogers, Sr. (15 receptions, 200 yards, 2 TDs) WR/PR Elliott Finkley, Sr. (21 receptions, 384 yards, 5 TDs; 8.2-yard punt return average() WR Larry Thompson, Jr. (21 receptions, 405 yards, 2 TDs) TE Christopher Kuck, Sr. (12 receptions, 215 yards, 5 TDs) TE Andrew Davis, So. LT Leonard Payton, Sr. C Ian Osking, Jr. OG Dustin Robinson, Sr. OG Chad Cypher, Jr. RT Kevin Halverson, Jr. DE Shaun Lewis, Sr. (58 TT, 14.5 TFL, 8 sacks, 2 PBU, 1 FF) DE Rolando Fines, Jr. (40 TT, 4 TFL, 2.5 sacks, 1 FR) DE Bradley Burns, Sr. (20 TT, 4 sacks) DE Montaque Mack, Fr. NT Montavis Mack, Fr. LB Will Perry, Sr. (55 TT, 3 TFL) LB Layne McCombs, Jr. (45 TT, 3 sacks) S Lacy McDougald, Jr. (33 TT, 2 INTs, 4 PBU) FS Jordan Dewhirst, So. (10 TT, 1 INT, 1 FR) SS Leonard Smith, So. (11 TT) CB Darren Johnson, Jr. (8 TT) CB/KR Colby Walden, So. (2 TT; 22.2-yard KO return) P Logan Chipperfield, Jr. (39.9-yard punt average)
OUTLOOK: Jacksonville is coming off the first back-to-back winning seasons in program history (the Dolphins were 9-4 in 2008). Last year, the Dolphins were the only team to beat Butler, dominating the game, 36-7. They led the PFL with a 31.9-point average last season and it won't stop this season with physical RB Small ready to build on his school records of 2,928 career rushing yards and total touchdowns (33) and QB McGregor ready to do the same with his records for passing yards (5,137) and touchdown passes (55). Philpart should own all the career receiving marks by season's end. Still, Bell is stressing the importance of the defense, which has retooled in the secondary after sustaining key graduation losses. The linebackers fuel the defense, with Fennell hoping to become an All-PFL first-team player. The season has a difficult opening with trips to Old Dominion (Sept. 4) and Appalachian State (Sept. 11).
4. DRAKE BULLDOGS (8-3 overall; 6-2 PFL)
COACH: Chris Creighton (14-8 in two seasons at Drake; 109-32 in 13 overall seasons)
STARTERS RETURNING: 15 (7 offense/8 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: FB Steve Platek, Sr. (30 carries, 147 yards, 6 TDs; 49 receptions, 553 yards, 3 TDs)
DEFENSIVE STAR: DE Dain Taylor, Sr. (48 TT, 19.5 TFL, 10.5 sacks, 5 PBU, 1 FR, 4 FF)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: QB Michael Piatowski, Jr. (203 of 323 for 2,139 yards, 14 TDs and 9 INTs; 2 rushing TDs) SB Patrick Cashmore, Sr. (47 carries, 251 yards, 2 TDs) SB Tom Kostek, Sr. (88 carries, 347 yards, 4 TDs; 14 receptions, 83 yards, 1 TD) SB Trey Morse, So. (80 carries, 278 yards, 1 TD) SE Joey Orlando, So. (20 receptions, 259 yards, 3 TDs) FL Drew Blackmon, Jr. (31 receptions, 457 yards, 1 TD) LT Matt Purdom, So. LG Stephen Flynn, Sr. C Chris Wilson, Jr. RG Dan Clinton, Sr. RT/C Evan Lawrence, So. NG Dave Witkiewicz, Jr. (8 TT, 1 FR, 1 blocked kick) DE Andrew Asbell, Sr. (redshirt last season) DE Josh Walkup, Sr. (32 TT, 13.5 TFL, 8 sacks, 2 PBU, 2 FF) MLB Ben Morrison, Sr. (75 TT, 14.5 TFL, 4.5 sacks, 1 INT, 3 PBU, 3 FR, 3 FF, 2 blocked kicks) MLB Stoy Hall, Sr. (13 TT) OLB Tyler Moorehead, Jr. (67 TT, 14.5 TFL, 2.5 sacks, 1 INT, 2 PBU, 1 FR, 4 FF) S Nick Chenier, Jr. (44 TT, 1 INT, 2 PBU) CB/PR Michael Lahart, Jr. (29 TT, 2 INTs, 1 blocked kick; 10.6-yard punt return average) CB/KR Lucas Mosier, Sr. (48 TT, 3 TFL, 1 INT, 8 PBU, 1 FR; 21.4-yard KO return average) PK/P Mitch Rasmussen, Sr. PK/P Billy Janssen, Sr.
OUTLOOK: Particularly tough on defense, the Bulldogs should thrive with an experienced unit that is led by DE Taylor. His 19.5 tackles for losses ranked third in the FCS last season. OLB Moorehead emerged into a playmaker and the secondary is experienced. Offensively, Piatowski helped the Bulldogs average 6.4 more points per game in 2009 than in 2008. The backfield is experienced, with FB Platek earning All-PFL first-team honors. Graduation, though, took some key players, including PK/P Brandon Wubs. The Bulldogs have had only one losing season (5-6 in 2002) over the last 18 years and visitors find it hard to win at Drake Stadium. That shouldn't change this season, and the Bulldogs hope their Nov. 13 season finale against Butler will be meaningful.
5. SAN DIEGO TOREROS (4-7 overall; 3-5 PFL)
COACH: Ron Caragher (22-9 in three seasons at San Diego)
STARTERS RETURNING: 11 (5 offense/6 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: WR John McGough, Sr. (49 receptions, 680 yards, 6 TDs)
DEFENSIVE STAR: DE Mario Kurn, Jr. (33 TT, 10 TFL, 4 sacks)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: QB Sam Scudellari, Jr. (67 of 117 for 1,004 yards and 8 TDs) QB Bill Stompro, So. (65 of 115 for 824 yards, 8 TDs and 5 INTs) TB Matt Jelmini, Jr. (63 carries, 301 yards, 2 TDs) TB Phil Morelli, Sr. (52 carries, 189 yards) TB Justin Fontenberry, Sr. (39 carries, 126 yards) FB Quintin Brown, So. WR Godfrey Smith, Sr. (27 receptions, 302 yards, 2 TDs) WR Kyle Warren, Jr. (11 receptions, 338 yards, 6 TDs) TE Patrick Boyle, Sr. (21 receptions, 291 yards, 3 TDs) TE Zach Lewis, Sr. OT Matt Peleti, So. LG Christian Fetters, Jr. RG Pat Thompson, Sr. DE Andrew Bakhtiari, Jr. (3 TT) DT Paul Tremblay, Sr. (40 TT, 5.5 TFL) DT Dustin Geyer, Jr. (20 TT, 4.5 TFL, 3 sacks, 2 FR) OLB Joe Martin, Sr. (39 TT, 8 TFL, 1 INT) MLB Mike Calahan, Sr. (5 TT, 1 FR) OLB Loka Kanongataa, Sr. (64 TT, 12 TFL, 3 sacks, 4 PBU, 2 FR) LB Zach Dunaj, So. (26 TT) LB Anthony McCrady, Sr. (21 TT, 5 TFL, 1.5 TFL, 1 FF) CB Don Davis, So. (21 TT) CB Al-Rilwan Adeyemi, Jr. (41 TT, 2 INTs, 9 PBU, 1 FF) DB Derron Juarez, Sr. (26 TT) DB Don Davis, So. (21 TT) PK Mike Levine, Jr. (7 of 8 FF, 44 long)
OUTLOOK: The Toreros' big run from 2005-08 - when they went a combined 40-6, including 23-3 in PFL action - is history after last season's considerable dropoff. The Toreros will learn where they stand within the league by opening PFL play against Butler (Sept. 25), at Jacksonville (Oct. 2) and against Dayton (Oct. 9). You can hear Torero fans gulping about that stretch. Some holes are glaring: the Toreros are replacing RB J.T. Rogan, their team MVP last season, while Fetter is the only returning starter on the offensive line. QB Scudellari, who threw for eight touchdowns without an interception before getting injured, has a solid target in McGough. Defensively, the line stands out with its experience, led by Kurn and Tremblay. Still, it will be hard for the Toreros to improve much considering the depth of the league.
6. MARIST RED FOXES (7-4 overall; 5-3 PFL)
COACH: Jim Parady (96-88-1 in 18 seasons at Marist
STARTERS RETURNING: 11 (3 offense/8 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: WR/PR James LaMacchia, Sr. (62 receptions, 1,075 yards, 5 TDs; 7.8-yard punt return average)
DEFENSIVE STAR: CB Jaquan Bryant, Jr. (27 TT, 5 INTs, 7 PBU)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: QB Tommy Reilly, Jr. (37 of 55 for 379 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs) QB Michael Gentile, Jr. (injured last season) RB Ryan Dinnebell, Jr. (31 carries, 128 yards, 9 TDs) FB/KR Greg Whipple, Sr. (35 carries, 120 yards, 3 TDs; 21.8-yard KO return average) WR Joe DeSimone, Sr. (15 receptions, 228 yards) WR Kevin Fitzpatrick, Jr. (14 receptions, 189 yards, 1 TD) TE Chris Ortner, Sr. (9 receptions, 115 yards, 2 TDs) OT Peter Evans, So. OT Phede Celestin, So. OT Brandon Pizzuti, Fr. LG Patrick Desautels, Fr. RG Timothy Lamezec, Fr. C Jack Meussner, Fr. DE Matt Snow, Sr. (12 TT, 1 FR) NT Terrence Turner, Sr. (27 TT, 5 TFL, 1 FF) DE Jim Desautels, Jr. (17 TT) LB Kees Coughlin, Sr. (66 TT, 6 TFL, 2 sacks, 1 FR) LB Ryan Cronan, Jr. (20 TT) LB Isaac Sine, So. (15 TT, 1 INT) S Rory Foley, Sr. (69 TT, 7 TFL, 3 sacks, 2 PBU) S John Van Aman, Sr. (26 TT) S Brandon Kicklighter, Jr. (41 TT, 1 INT, 4 PBU) P/PK Kevin Pauly, Sr. (37.6-yard punt average; 2 of 6 FG, 46 long) PK Jason Myers, So. (8 of 11 FG, 40 long)
OUTLOOK: A year ago, the Red Foxes overcame three straight losing records in a surprising first season in the PFL. It will take a lot to enjoy similar success this season as the Red Foxes lost a ton, including their starting quarterback (Chris Debowski), feature back (O'Neil Anderson), all five starters on the offensive line and two leading tacklers (LBs Nick Andre and Kevin Foley). They return one of the league's top playmakers in WR LaMacchia, but the first 1,000-yard receiver in Marist history will be the focus of opposing defenses all season. Their o-line will be among the youngest in all of Division I football. Meanwhile, their 3-3-5 defense should remain fairly stingy with a veteran d-line and standouts in the secondary in Foley (a safety who freelances like a linebacker) and Bryant. Parady needs four wins to reach 100 in his Marist career.
7. CAMPBELL FIGHTING CAMELS (3-8 overall; 2-6 PFL)
COACH: Dale Steele (4-18 in two seasons at Campbell)
STARTERS RETURNING: 20 (11 offense/9 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: QB Daniel Polk, Sr. (115 of 216 for 1,355 yards, 5 TDs and 7 INTs; 143 carries, 572 yards, 4 TDs)
DEFENSIVE STAR: CB/RS Brandon Chandler, Jr. (43 TT, 3 INTs, 6 PBU; 192.-yard KO return average; 9.6-yard punt return average)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: RB C.J. Oates, Jr. (103 carries, 567 yards, 3 TDs; 15 receptions, 141 yards, 1 TD)) RB Carl Smith, Jr. (91 carries, 463 yards, 5 TDs; 12 receptions, 132 yards) RB Rashaun Brown, Jr. (54 carries, 296 yards, 2 TDs) FB Jordan Cramer, Jr. (20 carries, 57 yards, 1 TD) WR Harrison Jordan, Jr. (24 receptions, 404 yards, 3 TDs) WR Kelvin Murphy, Jr. (13 receptions, 89 yards) WR Paul Constantine, Jr. (13 receptions, 230 yards, 2 TDs) TE Mike Stryffeler, Sr. (29 receptions, 355 yards, 2 TDs) LT Sam Issermoyer, Jr. LG Branden Burt, Jr. C Troy Horan, Jr. RG Andy Johnson, Jr. RT Jeremy Hill, Jr. OG Daniel Ritter, So. DE Charles Fiore, Sr. (25 TT, 5.5 TFL) DE Matt Cox, R-Fr. DT Randel Herring, Jr. (36 TT, 4.5 TFL, 1 blocked kick) NG Eric Bratton, So. (23 TT, 6 TFL) DE Taylor Reed, Jr. (31 TT, 2.5 TFL, 2 QBH, 1 FF) MLB Lee Stanley, Sr. (88 TT, 2.5 TFL) OLB Milton Brown, Jr. (61 TT, 5.5 TFL, 2 PBU, 1 FF) OLB Manny Davis, So. (35 TT, 1 FR, 1 FF) OLB Chris Price, Jr. (4 TT) LB Michael Rudisill, R-Fr. (Appalachian State transfer) CB Jared Hart, Jr. (58 TT, 1 FR) SS Erik Feliciano, Jr. (49 TT, 5 TFL, 1 INT, 2 PBU) SS Steven Goldsmith, Jr. (39 TT, 1 INT) FS Christian Dixon, Jr. (27 TT, 3 INTs, 2 PBU, 1 FF) PK Adam Willets, Jr. (9 of 12 FG, 44 long) P Ted Moore, Jr. (38.6-yard punt average)
OUTLOOK: Behind a lineup that returns nearly every starter, the Camels expect to take a big step in their third season as a program. They went from 1-10 overall and 0-8 in the PFL in 2008 to 3-8 and 2-6 last season. In their second season, the Camels averaged a league-high 189.7 rushing yards per game, led by QB Polk and a trio of running backs in Oates, Smith and Brown. Both lines return all of their starters, so the Camels will be solid up front. The defense will be much-improved, led by LBs Brown and Stanley and CBs Chandler and Hart. It's mostly a junior-driven lineup, so the Camels appear to be building to a breakthrough season in 2011. But they would like to arrive early this season.
8. DAVIDSON WILDCATS (3-7 overall; 3-5 PFL)
COACH: Tripp Merritt (23-28 in five seasons at Davidson)
STARTERS RETURNING: 13 (6 offense/7 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: RB Kenny Mantuo, Sr. (139 yards, 626 yards, 5 TDs; 10 receptions, 91 yards)
DEFENSIVE STAR: ILB Daniel Astrop, Sr. (68 TT, 5 TFL, 3.5 sacks, 4 PBU, 2 FF)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: QB Matt Heavner, Jr. (34 of 70 for 227 yards, 1 TD and 5 INTs) QB Chris Cochrane, So. RB/RS Justin Williams, Sr. (80 carries, 258 yards, 1 TD; 9 receptions, 56 yards; 20.6-yard KO return average; 8.7-yard punt return average) WR Mark Hanabury, Sr. (32 receptions, 309 yards, 1 TD) WR Jonathan Adams, Jr. (14 receptions, 148 yards) WR Chris Trinetti, Fr. WR Jeff McDaniels, Fr. TE/QB Michael Blanchard, Sr. (80 of 161 for 830 yards, 3 TDs and 6 INTs; 143 carries, 485 yards, 4 TDs) TE Reese Williams, Fr. LT Ethan Clark, Jr. C Alex Fleming, Jr. RG Zenus Williams, Sr. RT Marshall Ellis, Sr. RT Colin Wint, Jr. OL Adam Kurtz, Fr. NG Ellis Martin, Jr. (26 TT, 5 TFL, 2 sacks, 1 PBU, 1 blocked kick) DT Morgan Popham, Jr. (18 TT, 2.5 TFL, 2 PBU) OLB Patrick Hunt, Jr. (57 TT, 7.5 TFL, 1 INT, 1 FR) OLB John Behm, Jr. (55 TT, 3 TFL, 2 FR, 1 FF) CB Brandon Sykes, Jr. (13 TT, 2 TFL, 2 PBU) CB Harvey Kee, Sr. (9 TT, 2 PBU) CB Rodney Lasher, Sr. (18 TT, 2 PBU) FS Matt Guerrieri, Sr. (15 TT, 2 PBU) SS Peter Kidwell, Jr. (53 TT, 3 INTs, 2 PBU) SS Malcolm Moses-Hampton, Jr. (32 TT, 7.5 TFL) PK Ben Behrendt, Sr. (7 of 11 FG, 37 long) P Andrew Wohler, Sr. (40.5-yard punt average)
OUTLOOK: The PFL's smallest school (enrollment, 1,800) is finding it hard to keep pace with some of its bigger rivals, but a scaled-down non-conference schedule (Georgetown, at Lenoir-Rhyne and at Presbyterian) gives the Wildcats the chance for improvement. In an unusual twist, Blanchard, last year's starting quarterback for the first eight games, has moved to tight end. The Wildcats are desperate to have an improved offense after they averaged only 12.4 points per game last season. The offensive line suffered some key losses, but reliable RB Mantuo has rumbled for 1,360 yards and 21 touchdowns in his career. A solid linebacker corps, featuring Astrop, will ignite the defense. A healthier Guerrieri will improve the secondary.
9. MOREHEAD STATE EAGLES (3-8 overall; 1-7 PFL)
COACH: Matt Ballard (90-41 in 16 seasons at Morehead State; 125-109-1 in 22 overall seasons)
STARTERS RETURNING: 13 (7 offense/6 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: QB Zach Lewis, So. (86 of 161 for 813 yards, 4 TDs and 7 INTs)
DEFENSIVE STAR: DE Mark Hall, Jr. (32 TT, 9 TFL, 3.5 sacks, 1 PBU)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: QB/WR Evan Sawyer, Sr. (67 of 147 for 750 yards, 5 TDs and 7 INTs) HB Ronnie McDermott, Jr. HB Drew Morgan, Sr. FB/KR Desmond Cox, Jr. (80 carries, 305 yards, 1 TD; 21.1-yard KO return average) WR Jaison Yoshimura, So. (14 receptions, 136 yards, 1 TD) WR Donte Sawyer, So. (15 receptions, 170 yards, 2 TDs) TE Lance Murphy, Jr. LT Brad Seger, Jr. LG Josh Ison, Jr. C Joey Clegg, So. RG Eric Matteson, Jr. RT Jacob Hayes, Fr. RT Elijah Barnett, Fr. DE Jerome Raymond, Jr. (28 TT, 4 TFL, 2 sacks, 1 PBU, 1 FR, 1 FF) DE Mark Hall, Jr. (32 TT, 9 TFL, 3.5 sacks, 1 PBU) DT Chris Burns, Jr. (9 TT, 2.5 TFL) LB Tony Bachman, Jr. (56 TT, 8 TFL, 1 PBU, 1 PD, 2 FR) LB Keaton Mays, Jr. (43 TT, 7 TFL, 2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 PBU, 1 FR) LB Thaddeus Winston, Fr. CB Kameron Scott, So. (35 TT, 2 INTs, 6 PBU, 1 PBU) CB D.J. Smith, So. (23 TT, 2 INTs, 1 PBU, 1 FF) SS Ryan Williams, Sr. (42 TT, 3 PBU) PK Rainer Duzan, So. (7 of 15 FG, 45 long) P Justin Mullins, Jr.
OUTLOOK: After suffering some key personnel losses, it would seem hard for the Eagles to repeat their defensive excellence of last season, when they finished in the top 10 in the FCS in rushing defense (fourth), total defense (seventh) and tackles for loss (first). The toughest player to replace is LB Wes McDermott, who had 109 tackles (15.5 for loss) as an all-league first-team selection. Bookend DEs Hall and Raymond hope to set the example for their teammates. The Eagles need QB Lewis to raise his game after he gained experience as a freshman last season. The Eagles were plus-8 in turnovers in their three wins and minus-15 in their eight losses, so Lewis hopes to solve that problem. Getting LT Seger back from an injury helps him in a big way. The home schedule is advantageous, including dates with Davidson (Oct. 16), Valparaiso (Nov. 13) and Campbell (Nov. 20).
10. VALPARAISO CRUSADERS (1-10 overall; 0-8 PFL)
COACH: Dale Carlson (first season at Valparaiso; 110-103-3 in 21 overall seasons)
STARTERS RETURNING: 12 (6 offense/6 defense)
OFFENSIVE STAR: LT Nate Blair, Jr.
DEFENSIVE STAR: DE Nikko Carson, Jr. (43 TT, 11 TFL, 5 sacks, 1 FR, 1 FF)
OTHER KEY PLAYERS: QB Nate Goergen, Sr. (49 of 99 for 487 yards, 5 TDs and 8 INTs) QB Bobby Wysocki, Jr. (70 of 170 for 783 yards, 3 TDs and 11 INTs; 76 carries, 237 yards) HB Eddie Morelli, So. (24 carries, 23 yards, 1 TD) HB Isaac Wildermuth, So. (66 carries, 198 yards) WR Sean McCarty, Jr. (13 receptions, 183 yards, 2 TDs) WR Ryan Myers, Jr. (23 receptions, 247 yards, 1 TD) WR Desmond Lewis, Jr. WR/KR Tim Bennett, So. (27 receptions, 376 yards; 20.9-yard KO return average) TE Mike Gerton, So. TE Alex Petrik, Jr. LG Gavin Grillo, Jr. C Ferdinand Velez, Jr. RG Tayler Aiello, Jr. RT Sean Cook, So. DE Chris Lyda, Jr. (15 TT, 2 TFL) DT Brett Heber, Jr. (24 TT, 3.5 TFL, 1 FR, 1 FF) MLB Cody Gokan, So. (39 TT, 4.5 TFL, 2 sacks) MLB Francis Baker Jr., Fr. CB Adrian Gober, Sr. (14 TT) CB Roger Satur, Sr. (53 TT, 4 TFL, 2 INTs, 1 FF) CB Blake Torres, Fr. FS Eli Crawford, Sr. (56 TT, 3 TFL, 4 INTs, 1 FR) SS Laurence Treadaway, Sr. (51 TT, 4 PBU, 2 FR, 1 blocked kick) PK Mike Pando, Fr.
OUTLOOK: Carlson, accustomed to turning around programs, arrives from Ohio Dominican to try to lift the Crusaders. Last season, they were outscored 344-121, with their only win by three points over Division III Concordia (Wisc.). Their 23-14 loss at Butler was their only PFL defeat under double- digits. That the Crusaders return experience on both lines is a good start for Carlson. If Goergen can settle in at quarterback - he made four starts last season - he will rely on a deep, experienced wide receivers corps, which has an emerging sophomore in Bennett. DE Carson (four sacks against Drake) and FS Crawford (nine career interceptions) are the defensive leaders, but Treadaway is sidelined by a knee injury. Carlson's debut is at Western Illinois on Sept. 2.
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2007 online football betting Preview
My fellow Americans, as tempting as it may be to don the coat and HD-ready tie in order to deliver this State of the Game address before the cameras, I know better. As Brad Paisley sings on his latest album, "I'm so much cooler online."
The ideas for this annual essay to kick off the MySportsbook.com college football betting preview flowed like frat-house beer, which is to say they were cheap and spilled all over the floor. The 2007 season will be better than 2007, if only because there will be more of it. A year ago, the NCAA Football Rules Committee made two rule changes in the interest of speeding up the game. These changes went over like Kobe burgers at a vegan banquet.
To its credit, the rules committee rectified its mistakes. This season the clock once again will start when a kickoff is received, rather than when it is kicked, and the clock will not start so quickly on a change of possession.
However, kickoffs have been moved back five yards, to the 30, which will force more returns. (Thus forcing the clock to run. Clever, huh?) Special teams might decide a lot of games, because coaching strategy will come straight out of another new Paisley lyric (almost), I'd like to check you for kicks.
Paisley sings with a twang, which is why he's appropriate for this college football season. The sun coming up over the 2007 college football betting lines season rises from the south. It's a Southern football world. As the Southeastern Conference begins its 75th year, the power shift is noticeable.
Eight-figure budgets, glamorous settings -- and that's just for the head coaches. The SEC has four coaches who have won national championships -- the greatest aggregation of coaching know-how since Eddie Robinson dined alone.
Steve Spurrier, Phil Fulmer, Nick Saban and Urban Meyer have given lie to the idea that a conference championship game is too daunting a hurdle on the road to No. 1. In six of the past 10 seasons, the national champions played and won a conference championship game -- three of the six (Tennessee, 1998; LSU, 2003; Florida, 2007) from the SEC.
2007 College Football Betting Preview
There will be more of the same this season, if the preseason prognostications are correct. Six SEC teams are in the preseason coaches' poll, more than from any other conference. Only one conference has talent so deep that a team with 15 returning starters, including the best quarterback in the league, from an eight-win season is considered an afterthought. That may speak more to Kentucky's losing legacy than to the wisdom of the predictions, but there you have it. And seriously, keep an eye on Wildcats QB Andre' Woodson.
The reach of the South extends all the way to No. 1. Take a look at the team that is a consensus pick to win the national championship. The quarterback is from Shreveport. The best wide receiver is from Nashville. The top recruit is from New Orleans.
So what's the campus doing in Los Angeles? Hey, it is the University of Southern California.
USC lost two Pacific-10 Conference games a year ago, the first time that had happened in five seasons, and university officials withstood the urge to form blue-ribbon panels to unearth the cause of such a disaster. Instead, the Trojans gathered themselves and routed Michigan, 32-18, in the Rose Bowl.
USC's losses at Oregon State and at UCLA last year should have given pause to those who question the Pac-10's football prowess (such as, without naming names, L.M. from Baton Rouge). The league only got deeper this season; Dennis Erickson is taking over an Arizona State team that never quite got out of its own way under his predecessor, Dirk Koetter.
Erickson will resume his quest to become the first coach to win a national championship at two schools. Both he and Spurrier, now in his third season at South Carolina, returned to college football at schools with lower profiles than where they won their titles.
That isn't the case for the third coach looking for the national championship double. You may have missed this, but NASA reported the astronauts on the space shuttle last spring made contact with what can only be described as beings from another galaxy.
The leader of the aliens said, "We come in peace," followed by, "So how do you think Nick Saban will do at Alabama?"
The public is reacting to the new Crimson Tide coach as if he is the Barry Bonds of college football -- beloved at home for what his fans believe he is going to do, hated on the road for his intimidating attitude and for what his detractors believe he did (bend NCAA recruiting rules). I made this comparison from the dais at a charity dinner in Mobile, Ala., last month, and the chill that washed over me didn't come from the air conditioning.
Saban will attempt to prove that he can remake in Tuscaloosa what he built in Baton Rouge, much like another member of the national championship fraternity. Bobby Bowden is attempting to remake at Florida State what he built at, um, Florida State. Bowden rebuilt his offensive staff, bringing in four new coaches led by Saban's former offensive coordinator, Jimbo Fisher, to jump-start an offense that has been dead for a couple of years.
Las Vegas Sports Lines
The Atlantic Coast Conference is expected to show new signs of life, too. That is said with no disrespect toward last season's champion, Wake Forest, which provided one of the best story lines of 2007. The Demon Deacons begin this season in their customary position, overshadowed by the Virginia Techs, Miamis and Florida States.
It's not that Wake will find it difficult to duplicate its success in 2007 as much as the feeling that success engendered. Surprising success is the narcotic of sport. It never feels quite so euphoric the next time. Big East commissioner Mike Tranghese has figured this out. He refers to 2007, when a league looked down upon by fans and foes alike took three undefeated teams into November, as "Cinderella."
The fairy tale may be over, but the Big East has four genuine Heisman Trophy candidates in Louisville quarterback Brian Brohm, West Virginia tailback Steve Slaton and quarterback Pat White, and Rutgers tailback Ray Rice. Rutgers, as did Wake Forest and, of course, Boise State, proved last season that the have-nots in college football occasionally have quite a lot.
The Broncos' rousing 43-42 overtime victory over Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl has raised the profile of all schools in conferences that don't get automatic BCS bids. This season, TCU and Hawaii are the preseason favorites to burst through the BCS doors and earn an at-large bid. The Warriors return 14 starters from an 11-3 team, including quarterback Colt Brennan.
Brennan not only broke the single-season record with 58 touchdown passes in 2007, but he also led Division I-A in passing efficiency (186.0). The senior is expected to contend for the Heisman Trophy, and neither his success nor the rise of his team should come as any surprise in the 2007 season.
After all, Hawaii is the southernmost team in the country.
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What Is the Point Spread?
What are Sports Betting Point Spreads?
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
How to Read Point Spreads
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
- Philly wins the actual game by any amount of points
OR
- Philly loses the game by less than 7 points.
-
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
For Those Who Like to Consider Things Mathematically
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
- Subtracting the point spread from the favorite’s score (thus the minus sign before the number) and then compare to the underdog’s score
OR
- Adding the point spread to the underdog’s score (thus the plus sign before the number) and then compare to the favorite’s score
Who Really “Won” the Super Bowl odds ?
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
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